BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fairmont St

Class: 2 Class Rank: 111 Conference: Mountain East Conference Record: (5-5) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   54.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/02/2021 Home    L    64.83  14  23    2  35 (  9-  1) California PA           9.42    -18.42                      
  2 09/09/2021 Away    L *  57.99   6  27    2  36 (  8-  2) Charleston WV           2.59    -23.59                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    L *  50.54  23  30    2  88 (  6-  5) West Virginia St       -4.87     -2.13                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    W *  64.87  30  27    2  93 (  5-  5) UNC-Pembroke            9.47     -6.47                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    W *  51.69  31  27    2 128 (  4-  6) Concord                -3.72      7.72                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    W *  65.68  44  10    2 150 (  1- 10) Alderson Broaddus      10.27     23.73                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    L *  31.76  31  52    2 131 (  4-  7) West Liberty          -23.65      2.65                      
  8 10/23/2021 Home    L *  40.89  14  49    2  15 ( 10-  1) Frostburg St          -14.52    -20.48                      
  9 10/30/2021 Away    L *  39.18   0  45    2  12 ( 11-  2) Notre Dame OH         -16.22    -28.78                      
 10 11/06/2021 Away    W *  65.50  24  14    2 120 (  3-  7) Glenville St           10.10     -0.10                      
 11 11/12/2021 Home    W *  67.95  29  14    2 101 (  5-  6) Wheeling U.            12.54      2.46                      
      Averages              54.63  22.4 28.9

Best game:   67.95 = 15 point win over Wheeling U.
Worst game:  31.76 = 21 point loss to West Liberty
Team stdev:  12.70